比特币盛宴已过?

2024-11-25 5:58:56 区块链虚拟货币 author

最近比特币从73600跌至67700,跌幅近10%。虽然之前经历了从48800到73600的两个月上涨,但目前来看,利好因素逐渐消失。

之前主要利好因素有美国大选特朗普当选,但目前看来特朗普胜率不大。ETF资金持续流入,但已经流入600多亿,未来增量可能不会太大。美国降息的可能性也比较小,因为CPI数据并不低。

虽然比特币作为抗通胀资产,未来使用人数会越来越多,但其波动性依然很大,即使ETF加入,也会趋于稳定,而非完全消除波动。

比特币最大的问题在于缺乏实际应用场景,不能像黄金一样作为交易货币。虽然抗通胀,但相比黄金来说,比特币的价值支撑显得虚无缥缈。

总体而言,比特币的盛宴已过。虽然未来加密货币会越来越普及,但比特币的未来前景并不乐观。当前的比特币市场,尤其是交易所,更像是一个新型的赌场。

发表评论:

  • 3条评论
  • 流光渐逝2024-11-27 06:45:56回复
  • Thanks for the insightful analysis! It's sobering to see the potential downsides of Bitcoin, especially the lack of real-world application. Good points about the ETF inflows slowing and the impact of US economic policy.
  • 墨影似梦2024-11-27 08:04:47回复
  • Thanks for the insightful analysis! The points about reduced ETF inflow and the lack of real-world application are particularly compelling. It seems the hype might be cooling down.
  • 流光渐逝2024-11-27 11:34:35回复
  • Thanks for the insightful analysis! The drop and reasons given make sense. I'll be watching the ETF situation closely.
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